Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.127724 0.140779 0.154140 0.168809 0.184432 0.200547 0.218397
2024-12-15 0.105060 0.124483 0.145335 0.169262 0.195831 0.224307 0.257011
2024-12-22 0.085981 0.109050 0.134935 0.165825 0.201376 0.240714 0.287231
2024-12-29 0.076570 0.102946 0.133659 0.171500 0.216303 0.267114 0.328539
2025-01-05 0.068360 0.097044 0.131601 0.175409 0.228574 0.290148 0.365973
2025-01-12 0.061032 0.091264 0.128868 0.177804 0.238522 0.310159 0.399801
2025-01-19 0.054264 0.085392 0.125327 0.178594 0.246058 0.327007 0.429772
2025-01-26 0.053033 0.086629 0.130705 0.190532 0.267395 0.360698 0.480313
2025-02-02 0.048468 0.082802 0.129056 0.193131 0.276813 0.379738 0.513150
2025-02-09 0.044907 0.080020 0.128498 0.196913 0.287587 0.400420 0.548097
2025-02-16 0.040480 0.075540 0.125249 0.196795 0.293092 0.414378 0.574700
2025-02-23 0.039361 0.075902 0.128688 0.205702 0.310455 0.443473 0.620476
2025-03-02 0.038016 0.076000 0.131994 0.214888 0.328905 0.474934 0.670608
2025-03-09 0.034389 0.072164 0.129368 0.215684 0.336128 0.492089 0.702926
2025-03-16 0.029901 0.066463 0.123600 0.211713 0.336677 0.500483 0.724095
2025-03-23 0.028458 0.065774 0.125327 0.218491 0.352014 0.528419 0.770730
2025-03-30 0.026654 0.064264 0.125651 0.223143 0.364409 0.552565 0.812674
2025-04-06 0.024626 0.062133 0.124832 0.225986 0.374228 0.573325 0.850354
2025-04-13 0.022406 0.059401 0.122848 0.226925 0.381264 0.590342 0.883214
2025-04-20 0.022861 0.061855 0.129433 0.241031 0.407308 0.633329 0.950774
2025-04-27 0.021257 0.060085 0.128879 0.244096 0.417461 0.654792 0.989947
2025-05-04 0.020021 0.058924 0.129258 0.248554 0.429636 0.679093 1.033073
2025-05-11 0.018142 0.056209 0.126799 0.248415 0.435012 0.694036 1.063737